Zak Hanshew
• Betting Analyst
8+ years betting experience
Updated: Aug 22, 2026, 4:23 PM ET
• 4 min read
Our WNBA expert sees massive value on Angel Reese to dominate the glass & in true Reese fashion, she looks primed to smash the over.
Photo By – Reuters Connect. Angel Reese of the Atlanta Dream.
Riding a five-game winning streak against the Phoenix Mercury, the Atlanta Dream head into Mortgage Matchup Center on Saturday, Aug. 22, aiming to keep their dominant run alive.
Meanwhile, Angel Reese continues to dominate the glass—and mine Dream vs Mercury predictions favor her to tear through Phoenix’s generous interior defense tonight.
Read on for my free WNBA picks.
- UPDATE: Added Rhyne Howard prop!
Dream vs Mercury prediction
Dream vs Mercury best bet: Angel Reese Over 12.5 rebounds -135
Angel Reese leads the W in rebounds at 11.9 per game, and she comfortably leads in rebounds on the road at a healthy 12.6.
Reese grabbed 10 boards in each of her two matchups with the Phoenix Mercury, but both games were at home. She’s corralled 13+ rebounds in 15 of 35 games and 12+ in 20, including 12 of 18 on the road.
Phoenix has allowed the fifth-most rebounds to opponentsand Reese is riding a 10-game streak of double-digit boards while averaging 13.
I’ll play this one up to 13.5.
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Dream vs Mercury same game parlay
The Atlanta Dream are 4-1 ATS across their last five matchups with Phoenix, and Atlanta has covered the spread in three straight road games overall, outscoring opponents by 28.7 ppg.
Phoenix is ​​just 6-10 ATS at home, and the team is 1-4 ATS across its last five overall.
Atlanta has allowed the fourth-fewest points, and Phoenix has scored the fifth-fewest points this season. The Dream rank fourth in Defensive Rating, and the Mercury rank 12th in Offensive Rating.
I’ll play the Under down to 173.5.
Dream vs Mercury SGP +420
- Angel Reese Over 12.5 rebounds
- Dream -5.5
- Under 176.5
Want more basketball parlays? Check out our WNBA parlay picks page!
Dream vs Mercury player prop pick
Rhyne Howard Over 3.5 3-pointers +118
Rhyne Howard is tied with Marina Mabrey for the league lead in made triples at 3.3, and she’s doing so on 37.5% shooting from downtown. Howard has canned 4+ triples in 17 of 35 games.
The Mercury have surrendered the second-highest 3P% to opponents at 36.2%, and they’ve given up the most made triples at 9.9.
In two matchups with Phoenix this season, Howard is 11 of 21 from distance, knocking down 5+ treys in each contest. Given Howard has hit 4+ threes in nearly half of her games, this is a value offering at plus-money odds.
Zak Hanshew’s 2026 Transparency Record
- Best bet: 28-33, -7.47 units
- SGP: 7-54, -17 units
- Player prop: 16-19, -5.23 units
Dream vs Mercury odds
- spread: Dream -5.5 | Mercury +5.5
- Moneyline: Dream -218 | Mercury +180
- Over/Under: Over 176.5 | Under 176.5
Dream vs Mercury trend
Atlanta has covered the spread in three straight road games. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Dream vs Mercury
| Location | Mortgage Matchup Center, Phoenix, AZ |
| Date | Saturday, Aug. 22, 2026 |
| Tip off | 10 p.m. ET |
| TV | WANFA, WPCH.2 |
Dream vs Mercury latest injuries
Dream: Brionna Jones (Out).
Mercury: Kelsey Plum (Questionable).
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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