Matthew Berry’s 10 Facts for Week 10 Fantasy Football: Justin Jefferson, Breece Hall and More

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Before defining your fantasy football lineups, here are the…

10 Facts You Need to Know Before Week 10

  1. In the three games where he did NOT score a touchdown, Derrick Henri has less than 6 fantasy points in each of them.
    1. His run rate for the season is just 26%.
    2. He was on the field for only 36% of the Ravens’ passing plays.
    3. Yes, the acquisition of Jacoby Brissett this will help, but I still view Henry as a TD-dependent RB2 the rest of the way.
  2. Since returning from injury in Week 7, Saquon Barkley scored in all 3 games he played.
    1. And yet, even with a touchdown in every game, he’s only RB27 on a PPG basis over this stretch.
    2. Even more worrying, he ranks RB44 in usage score over that span.
    3. He only makes an average of 12 touches.
    4. And a target share of 4%.
    5. Maybe the bye week helps Barkley get fully healthy and his role evolves, but for now, it’s hard to view him as anything other than a flex play.
  3. Last week, in his first game back from injury, Brece Room saw 18 keys.
    1. And a target share of 13%.
    2. However, through the first 3 quarters of the game, he only played 1 more snap than Braelon Allen.
    3. And 8 routes less.
    4. This is just a one-game sample, and it’s certainly possible that Hall’s playing time will continue to increase, but Braelon Allen isn’t going away and his involvement will limit Hall’s fantasy ceiling.
  4. In his first game since re-signing with the Saints, Audric Estimé led the backfield with 16 touches.
    1. He saw 68% of the RB’s rushing attempts.
    2. And 75% of red zone RB hits.
    3. And the only attempt on the goal line.
    4. If Travis Etienne remains out in Week 10, Estime will be a viable flex play against a Panthers team that has been the best. fourth best fantasy game for RBs this season.
  5. In the 6 games Mar Shawn Lloyd played before Josh Jacobs back he was the RB40 at PPG.
    1. And scored double-digit fantasy points…once.
    2. When the Packers faced the Vikings in Week 1, their backfield had 66 total yards.
    3. On 20 keys.
    4. With Josh Jacobs expected to miss several weeks, Lloyd and Kaleb Johnson are worth adding in deeper leagues, but I would NOT want to start a Green Bay RB against Minnesota in Week 10.
  6. In 54 career games with Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson averages 19.8 fantasy points.
    1. And 98 receiving yards.
    2. And more than 10 meters per target.
    3. So far this season, Jefferson is averaging 13.6 fantasy points, 56 receiving yards and 7.7 yards per target.
    4. Even if Jefferson doesn’t return to those prior averages, it’s hard to imagine a scenario in which acquiring Cousins ​​doesn’t massively improve his fantasy value going forward.
  7. IIn Week 9, no WR had a higher target share on the Texans than… Dell Tank.
    1. It had a target share of 24%.
    2. And his aDOT was 14.8 meters.
    3. 5 of his 9 targets came on deep passes.
    4. He had 55% attendance on the run, a big increase from the 20% he was at in his Week 7 opener.
    5. Dell needs to be entered into more leagues.
  8. In his season debut last week, Jordan Tyson had only a 25% snap rate and only 35% route participation.
    1. However, he was targeted on 5 of his 16 routes.
    2. A very encouraging start for Tyson. I’m not sure it will break out this week, but it’s coming.
  9. Among the 37 tight ends who have seen more than 25 targets this season, Tyler Warren ranks 36th in yards per target.
    1. And 25th in yards per route.
    2. On the plus side, its target share of 23% ranks 4th.
    3. And that should increase even more with Keenan Allen and Josh Downs no longer on the team, but it’s going to be really difficult for Warren to be anything other than a low-end TE1 without improving his efficiency.
    4. To be clear, this is more of a criticism of Daniel Jones than Tyler Warren.
  10. During week 9, Darren Waller saw a 27% target share, a team high.
    1. His two highest run shares of the season came in the last 2 weeks.
    2. He still doesn’t see consistent enough usage to be considered a TE1, but he’s a solid streaming option in Week 10 against a Saints defense that allows seventh-ranked fantasy PPG against tight ends.

If you want even more analysis and nonsense, I hope you’ll watch “Pregame with Matthew Berry” on Roku and The Roku Channel from noon ET to 2 p.m. It repeats from 3:00 p.m. to 5:00 p.m. ET, then from 8:00 p.m. to 10:00 p.m. ET.

And if you access Roku or the Roku Channel app on your non-Roku TV or tablet/phone, just look for it in the sports area. And if you don’t have Roku TV or the Roku Channel app, you can also check it out at www.therokuchannel.roku.com. Go to Browse, then Sports, then scroll down to Top Sports on the Roku Channel…

We have a lot of fun every day and I promise to make you a smarter fantasy player/sports fan and a much dumber person. It’s 100% free to watch. And of course, many extracts from the show are available on my YouTube channel.

I also strongly, and I mean strongly, recommend joining the Fantasy football happy hour discord where an amazing group of people talk about fantasy football all day, asking and answering questions while commenting on my show. They’re a welcoming, smart, hilarious group, and I can’t tell you how much I appreciate them. I also spend a lot of time on Discord, so that’s definitely the easiest way to reach me if you’re so inclined.

Bottom Line: A reminder that every Sunday morning I do Fantasy Football Happy Hour: Last Call at Noon ET with Alex Cupps on my YouTube channel … come and get answers to your questions.

Good luck in week 10 – go win!

Gn headline

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